Demand Planning Specialist at Avon

What You'll Be Doing

Job Description Summary / Purpose of role

• Accurate forecasting is a key driver for Business KPI’s - critical in supporting the Representative and business profitability through providing insights to trends, risks and opportunities, and in reduction in inventory and improvement of service
• Accurately forecast concepts over the required time horizons and load on time into APT
• Communicate risks (upside or downside) or confirmed changes to Supply Chain
• Accurately review and amend concept splits (shades / colour / sizes) for creative execution
• Maintain accurate and up to date in line concept splits (if relevant)

Key Responsibilities

• Accurately and timely forecasting of concepts
• Using the most up to date appropriate and key historical data
• Amending for creative execution
• On schedule loading to APT, double check demands in Maps for visibility to supply chain.
• Amend forecast following trend results
• Analyzing results for lessons to learn
• Analysis for Key drivers for success
• Identify risks and communicate to the Business and Supply Chain
• Ensure the integrity of the Forecast inputs (the impact of Source of Sales and the New Product Forecasts) and impact of cannibalization
• Update concept splits (shade / colour / size) where required
• Accuracy tracking and analysis for KPI improvement
• Run Tab accuracy reports tracking Business KPI’s for Wape Bulls Eye & Bias
• Analyse Outliers
• Complete Root Cause Analysis results for issues with ideas for improving KPI’s
• Ad Hoc tasks in support of DP Team & Project Work
• Track results for improvement in performance -
• Newness vs trends and actuals - implement where applicable changes following latest results to maximize impact on accuracy KPI’s, service and inventory improvement
• In line results for changing patterns – update future forecasts based on observed trends
• Run campaign Wape & Bulls Eye Tableau reports vs Business KPI’s (Inventory & service) – analysis results for improvement
• Complete root cause analysis and implement learnings.

We'd Love You To Have

• BCom Degree (Pref Supply chain related / Economics) / BCom Hons / Industrial Engineering
• 2-3 years’ experience in similar business environment
• Forecasting or data analysis experience required together with excellent organizational skills. Attention to detail is critical in this role
• Strong ability to analysis data and understand weighting data within the category and overall business context for accurate forecasting.
• Forecast inaccuracy will directly impact service to Representatives and also could increase inventory levels that directly impact business profitability – Supply Chain, Representative , Commercial marketing
• Key Influencers, Partnerships & Interaction Type
• Good communication skills required with extensive cross functional collaboration
• No overall knowledge of direct selling required but a good understanding of sales and operations planning / supply chain / commercial impact of demand planning is needed
• Passionate driver – Take responsibility for results, actions and resolving issues working to tight deadlines within a pressurized environment
• Emotionally intelligent – Seeks feedback and manages impact of style on others
• Global builder – build relationship with Supply chain, Category & Core Store through use of effective communication
• Dealing with ambiguity – forecasts by nature are never correct and everyone will have an opinion; forecasters need to be comfortable with this.